July 2017

acrobat WEEKLY MONITOR – Food & Water Security in South Africa – 01 July 2017 to 07 July 2017
Author: Augustus Consulting
Key Emerging Trends, Themes and Issues
• South Africa’s land crisis deepens as the ANC Women’s League supports a call for a referendum on land to be redistributed without compensation.
• North West Premier Supra Mahumapelo calls for a referendum on amending the Constitution to allow for the expropriation of land without compensation in South Africa.
• South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma could call a referendum on whether the government should expropriate land without compensation.
• South Africa ranks dismally on personal safety in global index amid growing socio-political and economic uncertainty in the country.
• Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) leader Julius Malema dismisses land invasion charges against him as a rouse to stifle the land debate in South Africa, as he seeks a High Court order to declare the land invasion charges unconstitutional.

acrobat WEEKLY MONITOR – Food & Water Security in South Africa – 08 July 2017 to 14 July 2017
Author: Augustus Consulting
Key Emerging Trends, Themes and Issues
• Professor Ben Cousins of the University of Western Cape says that there is widespread agreement that land reform in South Africa has failed, but that the extent is convoluted by the lack of unreliable data.
• South Africa’s manufacturing production declines 0.3% in May according to the data released by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA).
• North-West University (NWU) School of Business and Governance’s Policy Uncertainty Index (PUI) shows that policy uncertainty in South Africa increased in the second quarter of 2017 with the advent of the recession, Moody’s credit rating downgrade, the release of the new mining charter and the public protector’s report on the role of the Reserve Bank.
• FNB and Bureau of Economic Research (BER)’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) below zero 12 quarters in a row amid slow economic growth in South Africa.
• South Africa’s Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister Senzeni Zokwana places Director-General Mike Mlengana on suspension with immediate effect pending internal investigations.

acrobat WEEKLY MONITOR – Food & Water Security in South Africa – 15 July 2017 to 21 July 2017
Author: Augustus Consulting
Key Emerging Trends, Themes and Issues
• South African government may extend its Black Industrialist Programme to include black commercial farmers, a process that would be managed by the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in collaboration with the Department of Rural Development and the Land Bank amid reports that the R1 billion scheme expects to fund 50 black commercial farmers in each province, ultimately reaching 450 farmers.
• Northern Cape farmers desperately seek financial relief from the South African government as the three-year drought takes its toll.
• Brenner Mills agrees to pay R12 million to the Competition Commission for price-fixing as corruption in South Africa’s food industry escalates, threatening access to food for low-income households in the country.
• Fear of land seizures prompts a 20-year high rise in farm sales in South Africa amid reports that 20 640 farms in the country are currently up for sale.
• South Africa’s consumer inflation slows to 5.1 percent year-on-year in June, with core inflation, which excludes the prices of food, non-alcoholic beverages, petrol and energy, remaining unchanged at 4.8 percent.

acrobat WEEKLY MONITOR – Food & Water Security in South Africa – 22 July 2017 to 28 July 2017
Author: Augustus Consulting
Key Emerging Trends, Themes and Issues
• Zimbabwe’s Commercial Farmers’ Union farmers’ warns white South African farmers that they should agree a deal to share land with the black majority before they suffer the same fate as neighbours in Zimbabwe who were violently removed from their properties.
• Black First Land First movement (BLF) says it’s currently taking unoccupied land in Ekurhuleni Metro on the East Rand and giving it to the landless people in the area as South Africa’s land crisis deepens.
• South Africa’s food nutritional insecurity problem escalate amid reports that the link between obesity, mental health obesity is a medical condition that is not just linked to overeating but to serious mental health, as the Medical Research Council reveals that South Africa has the highest obesity rate in sub-Saharan Africa with just more than 61% of its population overweight or obese.
• International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts slow growth for the South African economy this year, after the country slipped into a technical recession amid growing perceived political instability in the country.
• Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Economic Survey shows that South Africa needs bold structural reforms to boost the ailing economy as there is limited room for monetary and fiscal stimulus.

acrobat WEEKLY MONITOR – Food & Water Security in South Africa – 29 July 2017 to 04 August 2017
Author: Augustus Consulting
Key Emerging Trends, Themes and Issues
• South Africa’s Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Senzeni Zokwana serves preliminary charges on suspended Director General Mike Mlengana for alleged gross misconduct relating to misappropriation of state funds and failure to comply with the Public Finance Management Act.
• Barclays Group records a decline in total first-half income, the first interim contraction since Maria Ramos took over as chief executive officer in 2009, as gloom grips the South African economy.
• Pressure on the South African consumer and the lingering effects of the drought making life difficult for food producers, sparking an intense battle for market share, as all three major food producers – Tiger Brands, Rhodes Food and Pioneer Foods – feel the effects of consumer strain amid low economic growth.
• South Africa faces an economic dilemma as two of its most dependent population groups — small children and the elderly — are growing, while the number of working people is declining, according to Statistician-General Pali Lehohla.
• President Jacob Zuma says there is no intention to destroy commercial agriculture in South Africa but Broad-based Black Economic Empowerment (BBB-EE) will be enforced in the sector.

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